PROBABILISTIC AI
Research Group
The Probabilistic AI Research Group (PAIR)
Mission
Our mission is to develop AI systems that support reliable decision-making under uncertainty and can be responsibly deployed in real-world applications.
Core Research Areas
- Probabilistic Deep Learning, Large Language Models and Agentic AI
- Predictive Modeling for tabular, imaging, text, and multi-modal data
- Statistical Modeling, Bayesian Inference and Uncertainty Quantification
- Causal Modeling
The Probabilistic AI Research Group conducts applied research at the intersection of statistics, explainable artificial intelligence, and causality. While modern AI systems achieve impressive predictive performance, their practical deployment is often limited by insufficient uncertainty quantification, lack of robustness and interpretability, and missing causal understanding.
We address these limitations by combining deep learning and large language models with interpretable statistical models, valid uncertainty estimation, and causal discovery and inference methods. Our work is both methodologically grounded and application-driven, aligning academic excellence with real-world impact.
PAIR is committed to collaborative, third-party funded research in close interaction with academic and industrial partners.
Key Domains Include
- Medical and healthcare AI
- Energy demand management and renewable energy systems
- Predictive modeling and decision support under uncertainty in complex systems
Selected Prior Work and Example Projects
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Outcome prediction and individualized treatment effect estimation in patients with large vessel occlusion stroke
SWITCH (2025) -
Interpretable Neural Causal Models with TRAM-DAGs
CLEAR (2025) -
Large language models to process, analyze, and synthesize biomedical texts: a scoping review
Discover Artificial Intelligence (2024)
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Bernstein flows for flexible posteriors in variational Bayes
AStA (2024) -
Deep learning versus neurologists: functional outcome prediction in LVO stroke patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy
Stroke (2023) -
Short-term density forecasting of low-voltage load using Bernstein-polynomial normalizing flows
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid (2023)
Leadership
Members
Publications
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